| Trends and Multifractal Analyses of Precipitation Data from Shandong Peninsula, China |
| Meng Gao
; Xiyong Hou
|
发表期刊 | American Journal of Environmental Sciences
|
ISSN | 1553-345X
|
| 2012-08-01
|
卷号 | 8期号:3页码:271-279 |
关键词 | Precipitation Data Series
Piecewise Regression
Fractal Dimension
Climate Change
Shandong Peninsula
Multifractal Analyses
Intervention Analysis
Linear Regression
|
产权排序 | Key Laboratory of Coastal Zone Environmental Processes, Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, CAS, No.17 Chunhui Road, Yantai, 264003, China |
通讯作者 | Meng Gao
; Xiyong Hou, mgao@yic.ac.cn
; xyhou@yic.ac.cn
|
英文摘要 | Water shortage is a very serious problem in Shandong Peninsula, which is one of the most rapidly developed zone in China. As the major source of water supply is in this area, precipitation is crucial to sustainable development in Shandong Peninsula. The purpose of the present study is to investigate the trend and characteristics of precipitation during the last 4 decades. Approach: The data, both monthly and annual precipitation, were collected from six gauge stations. Both classical statistical and nonlinear analyses for time series analysis were performed. Results: First, it was found that the trend of precipitation in this area was decreasing. Second, the statistical analyses showed that there were two precipitation regimes and the turning point was around 1980. This time is in line with that about climate change in some recent references. Third, the complexity of precipitation time series was also analyzed by nonlinear (multifractal) approach. Frequency analysis showed that the dominant periods of Fractal oscillations were consistent with that obtained in some previous studies. Conclusion/Recommendations: The decreasing trend would be considered in future water resource management. Moreover, the findings of this study are of interest from the perspective of climate change and deserve more research study in the future. |
语种 | 英语
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文献类型 | 期刊论文
|
条目标识符 | http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/5908
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专题 | 中国科学院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室_海岸带信息集成与战略规划研究中心
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推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 |
Meng Gao,Xiyong Hou. Trends and Multifractal Analyses of Precipitation Data from Shandong Peninsula, China[J]. American Journal of Environmental Sciences,2012,8(3):271-279.
|
APA |
Meng Gao,&Xiyong Hou.(2012).Trends and Multifractal Analyses of Precipitation Data from Shandong Peninsula, China.American Journal of Environmental Sciences,8(3),271-279.
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MLA |
Meng Gao,et al."Trends and Multifractal Analyses of Precipitation Data from Shandong Peninsula, China".American Journal of Environmental Sciences 8.3(2012):271-279.
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