海岸带信息集成与战略规划研究中心知识库

以烟台市为例,首先对＂迁村并点＂的必要性和可行性进行分析,再运用灰色理论中的GM（1,1）模型预测规划末期城镇化率、总人口以及镇区和农村人口比重,并以此为基础规划了烟台市中心村、镇的合理规模。最后对烟台市实施＂迁村并点＂产生的社会经济影响进行细致分析,指出＂迁村并点＂为农民工＂市民化＂提供城镇载体,有利于探索农村城镇化新模式,是我国经济发展的发动机。

Taking Yantai city as example,the paper firstly makes analyses on the necessaries and the feasibility of village combination.And then based on the mode GM（1,1） of grey theory,the paper forecasts the urbanization ratio,the proportion of urban and rural areas to the whole population and finally programs the rational scale of central villages and towns of Yantai city.At last,the paper conducts a detailed analysis on the social economic influence of village combination of Yantai city,pointing out that village combination affords carriers to farmers citizenization and it is beneficial to explore the new mode of rural urbanization,which is the engine of economic development in China.